Friday, October 10, 2008
And the word of the day is "Capitulation"
Thursday, October 9, 2008
Watch BDK
If you're looking for good news (and there isn't much), there was improvements in the commercial paper market today as investors are slightly more confident to loan.
Waisting 10 Minutes
First off, I’m incredibly arrogant to even consider writing this blog and to think that anyone would want to read it. So why? I’ve done pretty well with stocks over the years and maybe someone might want to listen to my nonsense rants about what I’m doing in this market.
So, here are my thoughts....
This market has left the “Fundamentals Train Station” and has entered “Fearsville”. ; There is no sense that some positions have lost 50%. Does anyone actually think that Walmart will have a 30% same store sales decrease? No, given the state of the economy, they will likely increase sales. People will be moving from target to walmart to save a little money this xmas. Even an inherently overvalued P/E world, there WILL be a return to Fundamentals.
Another position I like a lot is pharmaceuticals. Specifically, I like PJP. It’s an ETF (kind of like a mutual fund without the costs) that tracks pharma’s. It’s down 20% from an already undervalued price. People still need to buy their drugs.
The last asset to look into is McDonalds (MCD). I believe that people will be going to McDonalds instead of Chili’s.
I have purchased all of the above today. Financials have been hit the hardest, but they are giving away so much leverage that I’m on the sidelines to see how they will actually make money.
I probably just wasted 10 min of my time, but oh well.